Yale's Budget Lab examined March 2026 Current Population Survey data and reached a conclusion that academic economists largely share: AI is not disrupting the labor market at the scale that public conversation suggests. The finding is methodologically sound — and it describes a different phenomenon than the one Oracle workers, GM IT employees, and Meta's 15,800 affected positions represent. Aggregate data captures what shows up in monthly employment surveys. It does not capture the worker who spent six months training an AI system and was terminated the quarter that training…